Valspar Championship 2026 Betting Preview, Odds and Picks: Betting On Brooks

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The PGA Tour concludes the Florida swing this week with the Valspar Championship, as players make one final stop before moving focus toward Texas and, eventually, the Masters.

The PGA Tour wraps up the Florida swing this week with the Valspar Championship, as players make one last stop before shifting focus towards Texas and, ultimately, the Masters.


At Innisbrook's Copperhead Course, the field will face among the tougher and more distinct tests on the schedule.


Let's break down the odds, course setup and best bets for today's Valspar Championship.


Valspar Championship 2026 Odds


Xander Schauffele (+1100 )
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400 )
Viktor Hovland (+1800 )
Akshay Bhatia (+2200 )
Jacob Bridgeman (+2200 )
Justin Thomas (+2200 )
Brooks Koepka (+2500 )
Jordan Spieth (+2500 )
Patrick Cantlay (+2500 )
Corey Conners (+3000 )
Ryo Hisatsune (+3000 )
J.J. Spaun (+3500 )
Sahith Theegala (+3500 )
Austin Smotherman (+4000 )
Ben Griffin (+4000 )
Nicolai Hojgaard (+4000 )
Nick Taylor (+5500 )
Aaron Rai (+6000 )


Copperhead Course: What to Know


Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course|Palm, Harbor, Florida
Par: 71
Yardage: 7,352
Greens: Poa Trivialis (16th smallest on Tour).
Fairways: Overseeded Ryegrass (4th narrowest).
Rough: Overseeded Ryegrass (4 inches).
Bunkers: 74.
Water in Play: 6


Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club has 4 courses on residential or commercial property, but Copperhead is the one that's hosted this event considering that it debuted on Tour back in 2000.


It's one of the more underrated stops on the schedule and a design players tend to delight in using. You're not getting your typical Florida setup here either. Instead of wide fairways and flat terrain, Copperhead includes narrow, pine tree-lined passages, lots of tight doglegs and some visible elevation modifications throughout. It resembles TPC Sawgrass where placing matters more than simply battle it off the tee.


Because of that, players are required to club down off the tee, which moves the benefit far from distance and towards approach play.


Copperhead isn't a standard par 71 either. It features 5 par 3s, all 195 backyards or longer, and they rank as the ninth hardest set of par 3s on Tour. The four par fives are far from easy as well, grading out as the 4th toughest group in spite of being the very best chances for birdies.


It's likewise quite a second-shot course. Around 53% of method shots come from beyond 175 lawns, with gamers striking into small, firm greens that are tough to hold. That's a huge reason greens in regulation relax simply 57%, among the most affordable marks on Tour.


You're going to need to be called in with your irons to produce chances.


And with motorist used on barely half of tee shots, there isn't much separation off the tee. Strokes gained off the tee hasn't been a crucial sign of success here, which puts much more pressure on technique play and the brief game.


With greens missed as typically as they are, having the ability to gain strokes around the green ends up being a big benefit when it pertains to conserving par and preventing mistakes.


Include among the most difficult closing stretches on Tour with the Snake Pit, and this becomes more about restricting errors and playing what's thought about boring golf.


Approach play is the greatest concern today, especially at similar tough scoring courses. With numerous shots coming from 175 lawns and out into little, firm greens, I'm greatly weighting SG: APP and proximity from range.


From there, I'm focusing on gamers who can manage a grind. That suggests looking at bogey avoidance, rushing and SG: ARG, along with excellent drive percentage to remain in position. I'm also considering par 3 and par 5 scoring, putting divides on Poa surface areas and total efficiency in tough scoring conditions.


Valspar Championship Picks


Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 )


It was a rocky start to Brooks Koepka's return to the Tour, completing T-56 at the Farmers Insurance Open and after that missing the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, however it didn't take wish for him to recuperate.


Koepka reacted with a T-9 at the Cognizant Classic and followed that up with a T-13 finish recently at THE PLAYERS.


This season, among this field, Koepka ranks 2nd in SG: APP. Over the past couple of years at courses with tough scoring conditions, he's 21st in that metric, and when you combine that with strong greens in policy numbers and his proximity from 175+ yards, it's precisely what you desire at a course like this.


He's also 23rd in SG: ARG over his last 36 rounds, which reveals that even if his irons aren't called, he can still offset it around the green.


This field provides a great opportunity for a star gamer to shine.


J.J. Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )


I went back and forth on whether to pull the trigger on J.J. Spaun this week. It hasn't been a fantastic start to the year, with his best finish coming recently at THE PLAYERS (T-24), but he's appearing a huge way in my design, ranking fourth overall.


He's very first in SG: TOT in comparable scoring conditions, third in GIR% over his last 36 rounds, eighth in SG: APP, 10th in Bogey Avoidance and 15th in Good Drive Percentage with a combined club choice off the tee.


The putter has actually cooled down a bit, which is truly the main concern, but if that even returns to average, the rest of his video game remains in a strong area for a course like Copperhead.


With the Masters around the corner, Spaun might utilize a strong proving, and this seems like among the much better chances for him to put it together.


Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )


How could I not go back to Corey Conners for a 3rd straight week? The Canadian cured us well at THE PLAYERS. Not just did he hold the lead for a stretch, but he eventually cashed us a Leading 20 (+168) ticket with a T-13 surface at TPC Sawgrass.


I had him ranked extremely in my design recently, and the exact same is taking place once again for the Valspar Championship. He completed T-8 in 2015 at this event and in overall has 12 rounds at Innisbrook, publishing a True SG mark of +1.63.


Conners ranks second in Bogey Avoidance at hard scoring courses, 4th in SG: APP and sixth in Birdie or Better Percentage. He's been extremely accurate off the tee with a blended club choice, he's striking greens in policy at a high rate (2nd) and has done a nice job making the most of Par fives.


What hasn't been as strong is the putter, together with his play around the green and on more challenging Par threes. Still, he was able to get rid of that recently. In a weaker field he could certainly do it once again and in fact win this thing.


Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )


This male has actually been a popular betting choice this season, and for good reason.


The 25-year-old hasn't finished even worse than T-27, which came last week at THE PLAYERS. His finest finishes consist of a T-3 at the Phoenix Open and a T-6 at the Cognizant Classic.


Hojgaard's irons have actually been called in, the putter has actually been strong and he ranks initially in SG: Par 3 over the past number of seasons on average-to-difficult Par 3s.


He'll require to stay consistent off the tee and be a bit sharper around the green, however if he can do that, there's no reason he can't discover himself near the top of the leaderboard again and perhaps even break through for his first PGA Tour win.


Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )


Ryo Hisatsune ended up T-4 at this event last year, and the season prior he published a T-33. In total, he's gotten +1.68 strokes per round at Innisbrook.


What's a lot more persuading is his existing kind. He's missed out on just one cut in eight competitions this season, and that was available in his very first start of the year at the Sony Open.


His finest outcomes consist of a T-2 at the Farmers, a T-8 at Pebble Beach and a T-13 finish recently at THE PLAYERS.


He ranks 6th in SG: TOT on similar tracks and is likewise sixth in GIR% over his last 36 rounds. He's likewise including a 12th-place mark in Scrambling, 18th in Bogey Avoidance and 32nd in SG: PUTT on Poa Trivialis.


His iron play has taken an action forward this season and if that continues, it might bring him even further at Innisbrook this time around


Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )


It's time for our dark-horse choice of the week, which belongs to 27-year-old South Carolina native Mac Meissner.


It may be insane to back a player coming off back-to-back missed out on cuts, however with him ranking sixth total in my design today, he's hard to overlook.


Meissner ranks initially in Bogey Avoidance, 2nd in Scrambling and seventh in SG: APP at hard courses comparable to Copperhead.


He's likewise performed well here, ending up T-26 in 2024 and T-28 in 2025, publishing a Real SG mark of +1.05.


I believe Meissner's got some value this week. I'll gladly lay -108 for a Top 40, and hope we're also sweating a 90/1 outright ticket come Sunday.


Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 ).
Taylor Pendrith Top 30 Finish (+100 )


Something about those Canadians today, eh? My model is high up on our good friends from the Great White North, and I don't wish to miss out on out on betting them to finish Top 30.


I do not believe they have enough to win this tournament outright, but I think they'll remain competitive for all four days.


Taylor hasn't missed out on a cut this season, and his play around the green can carry him through the week.


Meanwhile, Pendrith is appearing 10th in my model.


So let's add these 2 golf enthusiasts to the card as well, however just with their Top 30 wagers.


Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 ). Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )
Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )
Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )
Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )
Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )
Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 )
Taylor Pendrith Top 3o Finish (+100 )

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